MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.4 | +9.6 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.2 | +8.4 | 1.8 |
|
| 3 | Houston Astros | 5.3 | +5.5 | 1.2 |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.8 | +5.0 | 1.1 |
|
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 4.5 | +4.7 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.2 | +4.4 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Athletics | 4.1 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Texas Rangers | 3.7 | +3.9 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.0 | +3.2 | 0.7 |
|
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 1.7 | +1.9 | 0.4 |
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| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.5 | +1.7 | 0.4 |
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| 12 | Baltimore Orioles | 1.0 | +1.2 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Seattle Mariners | 0.8 | +1.0 | 0.2 |
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| 14 | Kansas City Royals | 0.5 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | Atlanta Braves | 0.4 | +0.6 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.1 | +0.3 | 0.1 |
|
| 17 | Milwaukee Brewers | -1.3 | −1.1 | -0.2 |
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| 18 | Chicago White Sox | -1.8 | −1.6 | -0.3 |
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| 18 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.8 | −1.6 | -0.3 |
|
| 20 | Miami Marlins | -2.0 | −1.8 | -0.4 |
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| 21 | New York Yankees | -2.3 | −2.1 | -0.4 |
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| 22 | New York Mets | -2.4 | −2.2 | -0.5 |
|
| 23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -2.5 | −2.3 | -0.5 |
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| 24 | Boston Red Sox | -2.7 | −2.5 | -0.5 |
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| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -4.8 | −4.6 | -1.0 |
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| 26 | Colorado Rockies | -5.3 | −5.1 | -1.1 |
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| 27 | San Francisco Giants | -5.5 | −5.3 | -1.1 |
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| 28 | Washington Nationals | -5.8 | −5.6 | -1.2 |
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| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -10.2 | −10.0 | -2.1 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -11.7 | −11.5 | -2.4 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 1 hour ago.