MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.7 | +10.0 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.5 | +8.8 | 1.8 |
|
| 3 | San Diego Padres | 5.5 | +5.8 | 1.2 |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.6 | +4.9 | 1.0 |
|
| 5 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.2 | +4.5 | 0.9 |
|
| 6 | Houston Astros | 4.1 | +4.4 | 0.9 |
|
| 6 | Texas Rangers | 4.1 | +4.4 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Athletics | 3.5 | +3.8 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Cleveland Guardians | 3.4 | +3.7 | 0.7 |
|
| 10 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.1 | +3.4 | 0.7 |
|
| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.4 | +1.7 | 0.3 |
|
| 12 | Seattle Mariners | 1.0 | +1.3 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Atlanta Braves | 0.8 | +1.1 | 0.2 |
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| 14 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.6 | +0.9 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.1 | +0.2 | 0.0 |
|
| 16 | St. Louis Cardinals | -0.4 | −0.1 | 0.0 |
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| 17 | Kansas City Royals | -0.6 | −0.3 | -0.1 |
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| 18 | Miami Marlins | -1.6 | −1.3 | -0.3 |
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| 19 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -1.7 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
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| 20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -2.3 | −2.0 | -0.4 |
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| 21 | New York Yankees | -2.5 | −2.2 | -0.5 |
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| 22 | Chicago White Sox | -2.6 | −2.3 | -0.5 |
|
| 23 | Boston Red Sox | -2.8 | −2.5 | -0.5 |
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| 24 | New York Mets | -3.3 | −3.0 | -0.6 |
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| 25 | Washington Nationals | -5.0 | −4.7 | -1.0 |
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| 26 | Chicago Cubs | -6.0 | −5.7 | -1.2 |
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| 27 | San Francisco Giants | -6.2 | −5.9 | -1.2 |
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| 28 | Colorado Rockies | -6.4 | −6.1 | -1.2 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -8.6 | −8.3 | -1.7 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -12.7 | −12.4 | -2.5 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed 30 minutes ago.