MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 6.7 | +6.8 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Cincinnati Reds | 4.8 | +4.9 | 1.4 |
|
| 3 | Philadelphia Phillies | 3.7 | +3.8 | 1.1 |
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| 4 | Houston Astros | 3.4 | +3.5 | 1.0 |
|
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 3.3 | +3.4 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Texas Rangers | 3.1 | +3.2 | 0.9 |
|
| 6 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.1 | +3.2 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.8 | +2.9 | 0.9 |
|
| 9 | Athletics | 2.0 | +2.1 | 0.6 |
|
| 9 | Baltimore Orioles | 2.0 | +2.1 | 0.6 |
|
| 9 | Minnesota Twins | 2.0 | +2.1 | 0.6 |
|
| 12 | Cleveland Guardians | 1.9 | +2.0 | 0.6 |
|
| 13 | Kansas City Royals | 0.6 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
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| 14 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.5 | +0.6 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | Atlanta Braves | 0.4 | +0.5 | 0.2 |
|
| 16 | Miami Marlins | -0.3 | −0.2 | 0.0 |
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| 16 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.3 | −0.2 | 0.0 |
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| 18 | Chicago Cubs | -1.0 | −0.9 | -0.3 |
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| 19 | Seattle Mariners | -1.2 | −1.1 | -0.3 |
|
| 20 | Chicago White Sox | -1.5 | −1.4 | -0.4 |
|
| 21 | New York Yankees | -2.4 | −2.3 | -0.7 |
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| 22 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -2.6 | −2.5 | -0.7 |
|
| 23 | New York Mets | -2.9 | −2.8 | -0.8 |
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| 24 | Boston Red Sox | -3.1 | −3.0 | -0.9 |
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| 25 | Colorado Rockies | -3.2 | −3.1 | -0.9 |
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| 25 | Washington Nationals | -3.2 | −3.1 | -0.9 |
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| 27 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -3.6 | −3.5 | -1.0 |
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| 28 | San Francisco Giants | -3.8 | −3.7 | -1.1 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -6.0 | −5.9 | -1.7 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -9.4 | −9.3 | -2.7 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 6 hours ago.