MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.8 | +7.9 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Cincinnati Reds | 6.1 | +6.2 | 1.6 |
|
| 3 | Houston Astros | 4.5 | +4.6 | 1.2 |
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| 3 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.5 | +4.6 | 1.2 |
|
| 5 | Texas Rangers | 4.0 | +4.1 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.9 | +4.0 | 1.0 |
|
| 7 | San Diego Padres | 3.6 | +3.7 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Minnesota Twins | 3.0 | +3.1 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 2.6 | +2.7 | 0.7 |
|
| 10 | Athletics | 1.4 | +1.5 | 0.4 |
|
| 11 | Seattle Mariners | 1.1 | +1.2 | 0.3 |
|
| 12 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.6 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
|
| 12 | Cleveland Guardians | 0.6 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
|
| 14 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.5 | +0.6 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | Chicago Cubs | 0.4 | +0.5 | 0.1 |
|
| 15 | Kansas City Royals | 0.4 | +0.5 | 0.1 |
|
| 17 | Atlanta Braves | -0.8 | −0.7 | -0.2 |
|
| 18 | Milwaukee Brewers | -1.3 | −1.2 | -0.3 |
|
| 19 | Miami Marlins | -1.5 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
|
| 19 | New York Mets | -1.5 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
|
| 21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.7 | −1.6 | -0.4 |
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| 22 | Chicago White Sox | -1.9 | −1.8 | -0.4 |
|
| 22 | New York Yankees | -1.9 | −1.8 | -0.4 |
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| 24 | Colorado Rockies | -3.0 | −2.9 | -0.7 |
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| 25 | San Francisco Giants | -3.5 | −3.4 | -0.8 |
|
| 26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -4.3 | −4.2 | -1.0 |
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| 27 | Washington Nationals | -5.0 | −4.9 | -1.2 |
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| 28 | Los Angeles Angels | -5.7 | −5.6 | -1.4 |
|
| 29 | Boston Red Sox | -5.9 | −5.8 | -1.4 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -11.4 | −11.3 | -2.8 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 2 hours ago.