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MLB Team Stats

Regular Postseason
CSV

Wins above Pythagorean expectation

Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.

Rank Team W−xW vs Lg avg Z Percentile
1 Tampa Bay Rays 8.3 +8.5 1.9
2 Cincinnati Reds 7.3 +7.5 1.7
3 Philadelphia Phillies 5.3 +5.5 1.2
4 Houston Astros 4.6 +4.8 1.1
5 Toronto Blue Jays 4.5 +4.7 1.1
6 Texas Rangers 4.0 +4.2 0.9
7 Arizona Diamondbacks 3.4 +3.6 0.8
7 Seattle Mariners 3.4 +3.6 0.8
9 San Diego Padres 2.4 +2.6 0.6
10 Minnesota Twins 1.8 +2.0 0.4
11 Athletics 1.6 +1.8 0.4
12 Baltimore Orioles 1.3 +1.5 0.3
12 Kansas City Royals 1.3 +1.5 0.3
14 Atlanta Braves 0.9 +1.1 0.2
15 Cleveland Guardians 0.8 +1.0 0.2
16 St. Louis Cardinals 0.5 +0.7 0.2
17 Chicago White Sox -0.4 −0.2 0.0
18 Miami Marlins -1.1 −0.9 -0.2
19 Milwaukee Brewers -1.9 −1.7 -0.4
19 New York Mets -1.9 −1.7 -0.4
21 Los Angeles Dodgers -2.4 −2.2 -0.5
22 Chicago Cubs -3.4 −3.2 -0.7
22 New York Yankees -3.4 −3.2 -0.7
24 Boston Red Sox -3.7 −3.5 -0.8
25 Colorado Rockies -4.2 −4.0 -0.9
26 Pittsburgh Pirates -4.5 −4.3 -1.0
27 San Francisco Giants -4.7 −4.5 -1.0
28 Washington Nationals -5.9 −5.7 -1.3
29 Los Angeles Angels -7.9 −7.7 -1.7
30 Detroit Tigers -12.2 −12.0 -2.7

Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 13 hours ago.