MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.1 | +8.3 | 1.9 |
|
| 2 | Cincinnati Reds | 7.8 | +8.0 | 1.8 |
|
| 3 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.2 | +5.4 | 1.2 |
|
| 4 | Houston Astros | 5.1 | +5.3 | 1.2 |
|
| 5 | Texas Rangers | 4.2 | +4.4 | 1.0 |
|
| 6 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.9 | +4.1 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.6 | +3.8 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Seattle Mariners | 3.0 | +3.2 | 0.7 |
|
| 9 | San Diego Padres | 1.9 | +2.1 | 0.5 |
|
| 10 | Athletics | 1.4 | +1.6 | 0.4 |
|
| 11 | Cleveland Guardians | 1.3 | +1.5 | 0.3 |
|
| 12 | Baltimore Orioles | 1.0 | +1.2 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Kansas City Royals | 0.8 | +1.0 | 0.2 |
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| 13 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.8 | +1.0 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | Minnesota Twins | 0.6 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
|
| 16 | Atlanta Braves | 0.4 | +0.6 | 0.1 |
|
| 17 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.5 | −0.3 | -0.1 |
|
| 18 | Chicago White Sox | -0.8 | −0.6 | -0.1 |
|
| 19 | Miami Marlins | -1.0 | −0.8 | -0.2 |
|
| 20 | New York Mets | -1.7 | −1.5 | -0.4 |
|
| 21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -2.5 | −2.3 | -0.5 |
|
| 22 | New York Yankees | -2.6 | −2.4 | -0.6 |
|
| 23 | Boston Red Sox | -3.4 | −3.2 | -0.7 |
|
| 24 | Colorado Rockies | -3.7 | −3.5 | -0.8 |
|
| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -4.3 | −4.1 | -1.0 |
|
| 26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -4.5 | −4.3 | -1.0 |
|
| 27 | San Francisco Giants | -4.7 | −4.5 | -1.0 |
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| 28 | Washington Nationals | -5.3 | −5.1 | -1.2 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -8.6 | −8.4 | -1.9 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -10.6 | −10.4 | -2.4 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 22 hours ago.