MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.5 | +9.7 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.2 | +8.4 | 1.8 |
|
| 3 | Houston Astros | 5.3 | +5.5 | 1.2 |
|
| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 4.8 | +5.0 | 1.0 |
|
| 5 | Athletics | 4.1 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 5 | San Diego Padres | 4.1 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.8 | +4.0 | 0.8 |
|
| 8 | Texas Rangers | 3.7 | +3.9 | 0.8 |
|
| 9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.5 | +3.7 | 0.8 |
|
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 1.8 | +2.0 | 0.4 |
|
| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.5 | +1.7 | 0.4 |
|
| 12 | Seattle Mariners | 1.1 | +1.3 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Atlanta Braves | 0.6 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
|
| 14 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.5 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
|
| 14 | Kansas City Royals | 0.5 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
|
| 16 | St. Louis Cardinals | -0.3 | −0.1 | 0.0 |
|
| 17 | Milwaukee Brewers | -1.3 | −1.1 | -0.2 |
|
| 18 | Miami Marlins | -1.6 | −1.4 | -0.3 |
|
| 19 | Chicago White Sox | -1.9 | −1.7 | -0.4 |
|
| 19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.9 | −1.7 | -0.4 |
|
| 19 | New York Mets | -1.9 | −1.7 | -0.4 |
|
| 22 | New York Yankees | -2.2 | −2.0 | -0.4 |
|
| 23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -2.5 | −2.3 | -0.5 |
|
| 24 | Boston Red Sox | -2.7 | −2.5 | -0.5 |
|
| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -4.9 | −4.7 | -1.0 |
|
| 25 | Colorado Rockies | -4.9 | −4.7 | -1.0 |
|
| 27 | San Francisco Giants | -5.2 | −5.0 | -1.0 |
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| 28 | Washington Nationals | -5.8 | −5.6 | -1.2 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -10.5 | −10.3 | -2.1 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -12.1 | −11.9 | -2.5 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 23 hours ago.