MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.7 | +8.9 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Cincinnati Reds | 7.5 | +7.7 | 1.7 |
|
| 3 | Houston Astros | 5.5 | +5.7 | 1.3 |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.1 | +5.3 | 1.2 |
|
| 5 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.7 | +3.9 | 0.9 |
|
| 6 | Texas Rangers | 3.5 | +3.7 | 0.8 |
|
| 7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 3.2 | +3.4 | 0.8 |
|
| 8 | Seattle Mariners | 2.5 | +2.7 | 0.6 |
|
| 9 | San Diego Padres | 2.2 | +2.4 | 0.5 |
|
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 2.0 | +2.2 | 0.5 |
|
| 11 | Athletics | 1.9 | +2.1 | 0.5 |
|
| 12 | Kansas City Royals | 1.1 | +1.3 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | St. Louis Cardinals | 0.9 | +1.1 | 0.2 |
|
| 14 | Atlanta Braves | 0.5 | +0.7 | 0.2 |
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| 15 | Minnesota Twins | 0.4 | +0.6 | 0.1 |
|
| 16 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.1 | +0.3 | 0.1 |
|
| 17 | Chicago White Sox | -0.7 | −0.5 | -0.1 |
|
| 18 | Milwaukee Brewers | -0.8 | −0.6 | -0.1 |
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| 19 | Miami Marlins | -1.0 | −0.8 | -0.2 |
|
| 20 | New York Mets | -1.7 | −1.5 | -0.3 |
|
| 21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.9 | −1.7 | -0.4 |
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| 22 | Boston Red Sox | -2.7 | −2.5 | -0.6 |
|
| 23 | New York Yankees | -3.0 | −2.8 | -0.6 |
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| 24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -3.8 | −3.6 | -0.8 |
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| 25 | Chicago Cubs | -3.9 | −3.7 | -0.8 |
|
| 26 | Colorado Rockies | -4.1 | −3.9 | -0.9 |
|
| 27 | San Francisco Giants | -5.0 | −4.8 | -1.1 |
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| 28 | Washington Nationals | -5.5 | −5.3 | -1.2 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -9.0 | −8.8 | -2.0 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -11.3 | −11.1 | -2.5 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed about 6 hours ago.