MLB Team Stats
Wins above Pythagorean expectation
Actual wins minus the wins the run differential predicted — close-game record, bullpen sequencing, and luck, in one number.
| Rank | Team | W−xW | vs Lg avg | Z | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Reds | 9.7 | +10.0 | 2.0 |
|
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.8 | +8.1 | 1.7 |
|
| 3 | San Diego Padres | 5.6 | +5.9 | 1.2 |
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| 4 | Philadelphia Phillies | 5.4 | +5.7 | 1.2 |
|
| 5 | Athletics | 4.2 | +4.5 | 0.9 |
|
| 6 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 4.0 | +4.3 | 0.9 |
|
| 7 | Texas Rangers | 3.9 | +4.2 | 0.9 |
|
| 8 | Houston Astros | 3.2 | +3.5 | 0.7 |
|
| 9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 3.0 | +3.3 | 0.7 |
|
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 2.9 | +3.2 | 0.7 |
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| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 1.7 | +2.0 | 0.4 |
|
| 12 | Seattle Mariners | 1.2 | +1.5 | 0.3 |
|
| 13 | Baltimore Orioles | 0.6 | +0.9 | 0.2 |
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| 14 | Atlanta Braves | 0.5 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
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| 14 | Milwaukee Brewers | 0.5 | +0.8 | 0.2 |
|
| 16 | Kansas City Royals | -0.2 | +0.1 | 0.0 |
|
| 17 | St. Louis Cardinals | -1.1 | −0.8 | -0.2 |
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| 18 | Miami Marlins | -1.3 | −1.0 | -0.2 |
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| 19 | Pittsburgh Pirates | -1.8 | −1.5 | -0.3 |
|
| 20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | -1.9 | −1.6 | -0.3 |
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| 21 | Chicago White Sox | -2.5 | −2.2 | -0.5 |
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| 21 | New York Yankees | -2.5 | −2.2 | -0.5 |
|
| 23 | Boston Red Sox | -2.9 | −2.6 | -0.5 |
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| 24 | New York Mets | -3.8 | −3.5 | -0.7 |
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| 25 | Washington Nationals | -4.5 | −4.2 | -0.9 |
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| 26 | Chicago Cubs | -5.9 | −5.6 | -1.2 |
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| 27 | Colorado Rockies | -6.3 | −6.0 | -1.2 |
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| 28 | San Francisco Giants | -6.6 | −6.3 | -1.3 |
|
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | -8.8 | −8.5 | -1.7 |
|
| 30 | Detroit Tigers | -12.6 | −12.3 | -2.5 |
|
Ranks are among the MLB clubs with a value for that metric. Computed 18 minutes ago.