CHC @ CLE — SportsStats

Friday, April 3, 2026 · Progressive Field · Final

Chicago Cubs

63-48 · L10 3-3

1–4

56-56 · L10 4-3

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	1
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	X	4	9	0

WP Connor Brogdon (2-2) LP Hunter Harvey (0-1) SV Cade Smith (30)

Stars of the game

Joey Cantillo Chase DeLauter Colin Rea

Season matchup

CHC

CLE

CHC leads 14 of 19 categories

CHC	Metric	CLE
Offense
5.13 3rd	Runs scored per game	3.94 30th
.752 4th	Team On-Base Plus Slugging	.680 30th
135 11th	Team Home Runs	108 26th
.248 10th	Team Batting Average	.231 28th
23.4 1st	Total position-player WAR	10.9 21st
Pitching
4.32 11th	Runs allowed per game	4.13 9th
4.11 13th	Team Earned Run Average	3.79 9th
1.26 10th	Team Walks + Hits per Inning	1.27 11th
863 24th	Team Strikeouts	1028 4th
5.7 23rd	Rotation WAR	9.3 12th
1.5 22nd	Bullpen WAR	3.8 12th
Roster
12.4 1st	Combined WAR of the club's three best position players	7.3 19th
4.7% 4th	Share of plate appearances given to sub-replacement hitters	24.4% 24th
53.0% 23rd	Share of position-player WAR from the top three	67.0% 12th
29.4 8th	Plate-appearance-weighted batting age	27.6 23rd
Results
.568 5th	Winning percentage	.500 14th
90 4th	Run differential	-21 18th
.578 5th	Pythagorean winning percentage	.479 18th
.571 6th	Winning percentage in one-run games	.514 15th
.574 8th	Home winning percentage	.491 19th
.561 6th	Road winning percentage	.509 10th

2026 regular-season totals, each with the club's league rank. The greener side holds the edge; descriptive metrics (roster age, WAR concentration) have no better direction and are left uncalled.

Chicago Cubs

Batting	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Nico Hoerner 2B	2	0	0	0	2	0	.257	.676
2 Alex Bregman 3B	4	0	1	0	0	2	.249	.724
3 Ian Happ LF	4	0	0	0	0	3	.217	.744
4 Carson Kelly C	4	0	2	0	0	0	.260	.716
5 Michael Busch 1B	4	0	0	0	0	1	.240	.742
6 Dansby Swanson SS	4	0	0	0	0	2	.212	.688
7 Matt Shaw RF	3	0	0	0	0	1	.246	.737
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF	3	1	1	0	0	0	.283	.919
9 Miguel Amaya DH	2	0	1	1	0	0	.243	.716
Moisés Ballesteros DH	1	0	0	0	0	1	.231	.687
Team	31	1	5	1	2	10	.161	.438

2B:: Crow-Armstrong, Amaya
SB:: Crow-Armstrong

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Cade Horton	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	0	17-8	2.45	0.82
Colin Rea	3.1	4	1	1	1	4	0	57-37	4.67	1.40
Hoby Milner	1.2	2	0	0	0	0	0	10-7	3.53	1.21
Hunter Harvey L	0.2	2	3	3	1	0	2	30-17	6.75	1.50
Jacob Webb	1.1	1	0	0	1	1	0	29-17	2.59	1.25
Team	8.0	9	4	4	4	5	2	143-86	4.50	1.63

Cleveland Guardians

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Steven Kwan LF	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	.256	.672
2 Chase DeLauter DH	4	1	3	1	3	0	0	.276	.786
3 José Ramírez 3B	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	.233	.723
4 Kyle Manzardo 1B	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	.214	.687
5 Bo Naylor C	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	.143	.438
6 Angel Martínez RF	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.225	.673
7 Daniel Schneemann CF	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	.206	.597
8 Gabriel Arias SS	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	.261	.713
9 Brayan Rocchio 2B	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	.261	.709
Team	29	4	9	2	4	4	5	.310	.946

2B:: Schneemann
HR:: DeLauter, Arias
GIDP:: Naylor

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Joey Cantillo	5.1	4	1	1	2	6	82-51	3.88	1.45
Matt Festa	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	4-2	4.43	1.37
Connor Brogdon W	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13-10	5.28	1.11
Shawn Armstrong	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13-8	4.91	1.45
Cade Smith SV	1.0	1	0	0	0	3	22-16	2.52	1.08
Team	9.0	5	1	1	2	10	134-87	1.00	0.78

Win% = CLE win prob.

Top 9th · CHC batting

1–4

Strikeout. Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.

100%

1–4

Strikeout. Michael Busch strikes out swinging.

99%

1–4

Single. Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to right fielder Angel Martínez.

96%

1–4

Strikeout. Ian Happ challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Ian Happ called out on strikes.

99%

Bot 8th · CLE batting

1–4

Strikeout. Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.

97%

1–4

Walk. Angel Martínez walks.

97%

1–4

Groundout. Bo Naylor grounds out softly, catcher Carson Kelly to first baseman Michael Busch.

97%

Top 8th · CHC batting

1–4

Flyout. Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.

97%

1–4

Pop Out. Nico Hoerner pops out to second baseman Brayan Rocchio.

97%

1–4

Strikeout. Moisés Ballesteros strikes out on a foul tip.

95%

Bot 7th · CLE batting

1–4

Groundout. Kyle Manzardo grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

93%

1–4

Single. José Ramírez singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. José Ramírez to 2nd. José Ramírez advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

94%

1–4

Home Run. Chase DeLauter homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Steven Kwan scores.

93% ▲17

1–2

Walk. Steven Kwan walks.

77%

1–2

Groundout. Brayan Rocchio grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

76%

1–2

Home Run. Gabriel Arias homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.

77% ▲22

1–1

Flyout. Daniel Schneemann flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

55%

Top 7th · CHC batting

1–1

Flyout. Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.

59%

1–1

Flyout. Matt Shaw flies out sharply to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.

57%

1–1

Pop Out. Dansby Swanson pops out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo in foul territory.

54%

Bot 6th · CLE batting

1–1

Forceout. Angel Martínez grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Bo Naylor out at 2nd.

50%

1–1

Single. Bo Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Shaw.

54%

1–1

Flyout. Kyle Manzardo flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

52%

1–1

Flyout. José Ramírez flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

54%

Top 6th · CHC batting

1–1

Pop Out. Michael Busch pops out to third baseman José Ramírez in foul territory.

58% ▲8

1–1

Pop Out. Carson Kelly pops out to third baseman José Ramírez in foul territory.

50% ▲10

1–1

Flyout. Ian Happ flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.

40% ▲8

1–1

Single. Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.

32% ▼12

1–1

Walk. Nico Hoerner walks.

45%

Bot 5th · CLE batting

1–1

Single. Chase DeLauter singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Daniel Schneemann scores. Gabriel Arias out at home on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to catcher Carson Kelly.

50%

1–0

Pop Out. Steven Kwan pops out to shortstop Dansby Swanson.

43% ▼12

1–0

Sac Bunt. Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Alex Bregman to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.

55%

1–0

Walk. Gabriel Arias walks.

55%

1–0

Double. Daniel Schneemann doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

51% ▲9

Top 5th · CHC batting

1–0

Flyout. Miguel Amaya flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.

42%

1–0

Pop Out. Pete Crow-Armstrong pops out to catcher Bo Naylor in foul territory.

40%

1–0

Groundout. Matt Shaw grounds out, second baseman Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.

39%

Bot 4th · CLE batting

1–0

Groundout. Angel Martínez grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Colin Rea.

36%

1–0

Strikeout. Bo Naylor strikes out swinging.

42%

1–0

Strikeout. Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.

48%

1–0

Single. José Ramírez singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Chase DeLauter to 2nd.

55%

1–0

Single. Chase DeLauter singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Matt Shaw.

48%

Top 4th · CHC batting

1–0

Flyout. Dansby Swanson flies out to right fielder Angel Martínez.

43%

1–0

Lineout. Michael Busch lines out to left fielder Steven Kwan.

42%

1–0

Lineout. Carson Kelly lines out to right fielder Angel Martínez.

40%

Bot 3rd · CLE batting

1–0

Strikeout. Steven Kwan strikes out swinging.

38%

1–0

Single. Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson.

40%

1–0

Strikeout. Gabriel Arias called out on strikes.

39%

1–0

Groundout. Daniel Schneemann grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

41%

Top 3rd · CHC batting

1–0

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

44%

1–0

Strikeout. Alex Bregman called out on strikes.

39%

1–0

Walk. Nico Hoerner walks.

35%

1–0

Double. Miguel Amaya doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.

37% ▼8

0–0

Double. Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (1) on a pop up to shortstop Gabriel Arias.

48%

0–0

Strikeout. Matt Shaw strikes out swinging.

53%

Bot 2nd · CLE batting

0–0

Lineout. Angel Martínez lines out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

50%

0–0

Grounded Into DP. Bo Naylor grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Kyle Manzardo out at 2nd. Bo Naylor out at 1st.

51% ▼8

0–0

Walk. Kyle Manzardo walks.

59%

Top 2nd · CHC batting

0–0

Strikeout. Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.

55%

0–0

Double Play. Michael Busch lines into an unassisted double play, first baseman Kyle Manzardo. Carson Kelly out at 1st.

54% ▲8

0–0

Single. Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.

46%

Bot 1st · CLE batting

0–0

Flyout. José Ramírez flies out to right fielder Matt Shaw in foul territory.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Chase DeLauter grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

51%

0–0

Flyout. Steven Kwan flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.

53%

Top 1st · CHC batting

0–0

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

55%

0–0

Strikeout. Alex Bregman strikes out swinging.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Nico Hoerner grounds out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.

52%