CHC @ ATL — SportsStats

Tuesday, May 12, 2026 · Truist Park · Final

Chicago Cubs

65-49 · L10 8-2

2–5

Atlanta Braves

68-45 · L10 6-4

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0
ATL	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	X	5	11	0

WP Didier Fuentes (4-1) LP Colin Rea (8-8) SV Raisel Iglesias (24)

Stars of the game

Mike Yastrzemski Didier Fuentes Austin Riley

Season matchup

CHC

ATL

ATL leads 13 of 19 categories

CHC	Metric	ATL
Offense
5.13 2nd	Runs scored per game	4.89 6th
.754 3rd	Team On-Base Plus Slugging	.733 8th
141 9th	Team Home Runs	152 4th
.248 10th	Team Batting Average	.249 9th
24.6 1st	Total position-player WAR	12.8 16th
Pitching
4.27 10th	Runs allowed per game	3.92 6th
4.06 11th	Team Earned Run Average	3.66 5th
1.25 10th	Team Walks + Hits per Inning	1.24 8th
880 24th	Team Strikeouts	967 12th
6.2 23rd	Rotation WAR	7.9 18th
2.3 21st	Bullpen WAR	5.2 7th
Roster
12.9 1st	Combined WAR of the club's three best position players	8.5 10th
4.4% 4th	Share of plate appearances given to sub-replacement hitters	3.4% 3rd
52.4% 23rd	Share of position-player WAR from the top three	66.4% 11th
29.5 6th	Plate-appearance-weighted batting age	29.9 4th
Results
.570 5th	Winning percentage	.602 3rd
98 4th	Run differential	110 3rd
.583 4th	Pythagorean winning percentage	.600 3rd
.552 10th	Winning percentage in one-run games	.529 14th
.579 8th	Home winning percentage	.649 2nd
.561 5th	Road winning percentage	.554 6th

2026 regular-season totals, each with the club's league rank. The greener side holds the edge; descriptive metrics (roster age, WAR concentration) have no better direction and are left uncalled.

Chicago Cubs

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Nico Hoerner 2B	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.258	.681
2 Michael Conforto DH	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	.231	.780
Matt Shaw DH	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.246	.737
3 Alex Bregman 3B	4	1	1	1	1	0	0	.246	.717
4 Ian Happ LF	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	.215	.741
5 Seiya Suzuki RF	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	.274	.850
6 Michael Busch 1B	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	.241	.745
7 Moisés Ballesteros C	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	.231	.685
8 Dansby Swanson SS	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.219	.706
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	.284	.919
Team	28	2	1	1	2	5	9	.036	.325

HR:: Bregman

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Colin Rea L	4.1	7	5	5	1	1	2	80-56	4.59	1.36
Ryan Rolison	1.2	2	0	0	1	2	0	26-16	2.40	1.24
Jacob Webb	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13-10	2.54	1.23
Trent Thornton	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	0	16-11	2.86	1.13
Team	8.0	11	5	5	2	5	2	135-93	5.63	1.63

Atlanta Braves

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Drake Baldwin C	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	.269	.823
2 Ozzie Albies 2B	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	.263	.751
3 Matt Olson 1B	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.269	.890
4 Michael Harris CF	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	.287	.806
5 Mauricio Dubón LF	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	.259	.703
6 Austin Riley 3B	4	1	2	1	1	0	1	.220	.657
7 Dominic Smith DH	4	2	4	0	0	0	0	.266	.723
8 Ha-Seong Kim SS	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.068	.239
9 Mike Yastrzemski RF	2	1	2	1	3	0	0	.230	.697
José Azócar RF	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.353	.859
Team	33	5	11	2	5	2	5	.333	.917

2B:: Baldwin
HR:: Riley, Yastrzemski

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Grant Holmes	4.0	1	2	2	4	5	1	78-46	3.67	1.34
Didier Fuentes W	3.0	0	0	0	1	3	0	36-22	2.49	1.13
Dylan Lee	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12-9	2.08	0.73
Raisel Iglesias SV	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13-9	2.63	1.12
Team	9.0	1	2	2	5	9	1	139-86	2.00	0.67

Win% = ATL win prob.

Top 9th · CHC batting

2–5

Flyout. Michael Busch flies out sharply to center fielder Michael Harris II.

100%

2–5

Pop Out. Seiya Suzuki pops out to first baseman Matt Olson.

100%

2–5

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

99%

Bot 8th · ATL batting

2–5

Groundout. Ha-Seong Kim grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

97%

2–5

Single. Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Austin Riley to 3rd.

97%

2–5

Single. Austin Riley singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

97%

2–5

Strikeout. Mauricio Dubón strikes out swinging.

97%

2–5

Flyout. Michael Harris II flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.

97%

Top 8th · CHC batting

2–5

Lineout. Alex Bregman lines out to third baseman Austin Riley.

97%

2–5

Groundout. Matt Shaw grounds out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to first baseman Matt Olson.

97%

2–5

Pop Out. Nico Hoerner pops out to second baseman Ozzie Albies.

95%

Bot 7th · ATL batting

2–5

Lineout. Matt Olson lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

93%

2–5

Strikeout. Ozzie Albies strikes out swinging.

93%

2–5

Groundout. Drake Baldwin grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.

94%

Top 7th · CHC batting

2–5

Pop Out. Pete Crow-Armstrong pops out softly to third baseman Austin Riley.

94%

2–5

Groundout. Dansby Swanson grounds out, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson.

93%

2–5

Strikeout. Moisés Ballesteros called out on strikes.

92%

Bot 6th · ATL batting

2–5

Groundout. José Azócar grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.

89%

2–5

Walk. Ha-Seong Kim walks. Dominic Smith to 2nd.

91%

2–5

Single. Dominic Smith singles on a fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ.

90%

2–5

Strikeout. Austin Riley strikes out on a foul tip.

90%

2–5

Groundout. Mauricio Dubón grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.

90%

Top 6th · CHC batting

2–5

Groundout. Michael Busch grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.

91%

2–5

Flyout. Seiya Suzuki flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.

90%

2–5

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

89%

Bot 5th · ATL batting

2–5

Pickoff 1B. Pitcher Ryan Rolison picks off Matt Olson at 1st on throw to first baseman Michael Busch.

86%

2–5

Strikeout. Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.

88%

2–5

Single. Matt Olson singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki, deflected by first baseman Michael Busch. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.

91% ▲8

2–4

Walk. Ozzie Albies walks.

84%

2–4

Double. Drake Baldwin doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to second baseman Nico Hoerner.

83%

2–4

Home Run. Mike Yastrzemski homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Dominic Smith scores.

80% ▲23

2–2

Pop Out. Ha-Seong Kim pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman in foul territory.

57%

2–2

Single. Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ.

61%

2–2

Home Run. Austin Riley homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.

57% ▲15

Top 5th · CHC batting

2–1

Forceout. Alex Bregman grounds into a force out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd.

42%

2–1

Lineout. Michael Conforto lines out to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.

39%

2–1

Walk. Nico Hoerner walks.

36%

2–1

Strikeout. Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.

39%

Bot 4th · ATL batting

2–1

Groundout. Mauricio Dubón grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

36%

2–1

Single. Michael Harris II singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

43%

2–1

Groundout. Matt Olson grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

40%

Top 4th · CHC batting

2–1

Strikeout. Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.

43%

2–1

Forceout. Moisés Ballesteros grounds into a force out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Michael Busch out at 2nd. Moisés Ballesteros to 1st.

38%

1–1

Walk. Michael Busch walks. Ian Happ to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.

38%

1–1

Walk. Seiya Suzuki walks. Ian Happ to 2nd.

45%

1–1

Walk. Ian Happ walks.

50%

1–1

Home Run. Alex Bregman homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.

53% ▼13

0–1

Strikeout. Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.

65%

Bot 3rd · ATL batting

0–1

Groundout. Ozzie Albies grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch.

62%

0–1

Strikeout. Drake Baldwin strikes out swinging.

64%

0–1

Single. Mike Yastrzemski singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Dominic Smith scores.

67% ▲9

0–0

Groundout. Ha-Seong Kim grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Dominic Smith to 2nd.

58%

0–0

Single. Dominic Smith singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

60%

Top 3rd · CHC batting

0–0

Flyout. Nico Hoerner flies out to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.

56%

0–0

Strikeout. Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging, catcher Drake Baldwin to first baseman Matt Olson.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Dansby Swanson grounds out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to first baseman Matt Olson.

53%

Bot 2nd · ATL batting

0–0

Flyout. Austin Riley flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Mauricio Dubón grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

51%

0–0

Flyout. Michael Harris II flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

53%

Top 2nd · CHC batting

0–0

Lineout. Moisés Ballesteros lines out sharply, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.

55%

0–0

Walk. Michael Busch walks.

53%

0–0

Strikeout. Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.

54%

0–0

Lineout. Ian Happ lines out sharply to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.

52%

Bot 1st · ATL batting

0–0

Flyout. Matt Olson flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Ozzie Albies grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Colin Rea.

51%

0–0

Groundout. Drake Baldwin grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Colin Rea.

53%

Top 1st · CHC batting

0–0

Groundout. Alex Bregman grounds out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to first baseman Matt Olson.

55%

0–0

Strikeout. Michael Conforto strikes out on a foul tip.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Nico Hoerner grounds out softly, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson.

52%