HOU @ CIN — SportsStats

Saturday, May 9, 2026 · Great American Ball Park · Final

Houston Astros

55-55 · L10 5-5

1–3

51-57 · L10 1-9

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	2
CIN	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	X	3	5	0

WP Chase Burns (12-1) LP Spencer Arrighetti (7-5) SV Pierce Johnson (1)

Stars of the game

Spencer Arrighetti Chase Burns Braden Shewmake

Season matchup

HOU leads 16 of 19 categories

HOU	Metric	CIN
Offense
4.59 12th	Runs scored per game	4.10 27th
.728 9th	Team On-Base Plus Slugging	.704 22nd
151 3rd	Team Home Runs	139 6th
.241 18th	Team Batting Average	.230 28th
14.2 9th	Total position-player WAR	5.3 30th
Pitching
4.96 25th	Runs allowed per game	4.74 21st
4.69 26th	Team Earned Run Average	4.41 23rd
1.38 24th	Team Walks + Hits per Inning	1.41 27th
964 10th	Team Strikeouts	866 22nd
2.5 30th	Rotation WAR	6.9 21st
0.4 27th	Bullpen WAR	-0.3 28th
Roster
10.1 3rd	Combined WAR of the club's three best position players	6.5 24th
15.0% 14th	Share of plate appearances given to sub-replacement hitters	28.7% 29th
71.1% 9th	Share of position-player WAR from the top three	122.6% 1st
29.4 7th	Plate-appearance-weighted batting age	28.2 21st
Results
.500 14th	Winning percentage	.472 22nd
-41 22nd	Run differential	-69 26th
.464 22nd	Pythagorean winning percentage	.434 27th
.556 8th	Winning percentage in one-run games	.520 14th
.491 19th	Home winning percentage	.444 27th
.509 10th	Road winning percentage	.500 12th

2026 regular-season totals, each with the club's league rank. The greener side holds the edge; descriptive metrics (roster age, WAR concentration) have no better direction and are left uncalled.

Houston Astros

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Jose Altuve 2B	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	.234	.687
2 Yordan Alvarez DH	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	.321	1.073
3 Isaac Paredes 3B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	.254	.765
4 Christian Walker 1B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	.235	.765
5 Cam Smith RF	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	.204	.640
6 Zach Cole LF	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	.157	.542
Zach Dezenzo LF	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.225	.619
7 Brice Matthews CF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.197	.582
8 Braden Shewmake SS	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	.258	.694
9 Christian Vázquez C	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	.216	.601
Team	29	1	4	1	1	3	5	.138	.529

2B:: Alvarez, Cole
HR:: Shewmake
GIDP:: Paredes

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Spencer Arrighetti L	5.2	5	3	1	3	5	93-59	4.60	1.34
Enyel De Los Santos	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	9-8	4.32	1.18
Steven Okert	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10-6	2.19	0.84
Bryan Abreu	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	5-3	4.74	1.50
Team	8.0	5	3	1	3	7	117-76	1.13	1.00

Cincinnati Reds

Batting	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 TJ Friedl CF	2	0	0	0	1	1	.167	.506
Dane Myers CF	1	0	0	0	0	0	.276	.758
2 JJ Bleday LF	4	0	0	0	0	0	.228	.800
3 Elly De La Cruz SS	4	0	2	1	0	1	.279	.859
4 Sal Stewart 3B	4	0	1	0	0	2	.254	.804
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B	0	0	0	0	0	0	.142	.426
5 Nathaniel Lowe DH	3	0	0	0	0	1	.255	.804
6 Spencer Steer 1B	3	1	1	0	0	0	.238	.739
7 Will Benson RF	1	1	0	0	2	1	.188	.643
8 Jose Trevino C	2	1	0	0	0	0	.247	.651
9 Matt McLain 2B	3	0	1	2	0	1	.191	.620
Team	27	3	5	3	3	7	.185	.452

SB:: Stewart, Steer
CS:: De La Cruz

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Chase Burns W	6.0	4	1	1	3	2	1	87-49	2.40	1.12
Brock Burke	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	8-7	2.56	1.31
Graham Ashcraft	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	0	19-12	3.33	1.22
Pierce Johnson SV	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12-7	4.78	1.31
Team	9.0	4	1	1	3	5	1	126-75	1.00	0.78

Win% = CIN win prob.

Top 9th · HOU batting

1–3

Groundout. Cam Smith grounds out softly, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Spencer Steer.

100%

1–3

Lineout. Christian Walker lines out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.

99%

1–3

Groundout. Isaac Paredes grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Spencer Steer.

96%

Bot 8th · CIN batting

1–3

Flyout. Sal Stewart flies out sharply to center fielder Brice Matthews.

92%

1–3

Groundout. Elly De La Cruz grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.

93%

1–3

Flyout. JJ Bleday flies out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.

93%

Top 8th · HOU batting

1–3

Strikeout. Yordan Alvarez called out on strikes.

94%

1–3

Flyout. Jose Altuve flies out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.

93%

1–3

Strikeout. Christian Vázquez strikes out swinging.

90%

Bot 7th · CIN batting

1–3

Flyout. Dane Myers flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews.

86%

1–3

Strikeout. Matt McLain strikes out swinging.

87%

1–3

Flyout. Jose Trevino flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.

88%

Top 7th · HOU batting

1–3

Groundout. Braden Shewmake grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.

89%

1–3

Flyout. Brice Matthews flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

87%

1–3

Strikeout. Zach Dezenzo strikes out swinging.

85%

Bot 6th · CIN batting

1–3

Strikeout. Will Benson called out on strikes.

82%

1–3

Lineout. Spencer Steer lines out to shortstop Braden Shewmake.

84%

1–3

Flyout. Nathaniel Lowe flies out to left fielder Zach Cole.

86%

1–3

Single. Sal Stewart singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brice Matthews.

87%

Top 6th · HOU batting

1–3

Strikeout. Cam Smith strikes out swinging.

85%

1–3

Pop Out. Christian Walker pops out to first baseman Spencer Steer.

80%

1–3

Flyout. Isaac Paredes flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.

76%

1–3

Double. Yordan Alvarez doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Benson.

70% ▼8

Bot 5th · CIN batting

1–3

Single. Elly De La Cruz singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Cole. Jose Trevino scores. Matt McLain out at home on the throw, left fielder Zach Cole to catcher Christian Vázquez. TJ Friedl to 2nd.

78%

1–2

Flyout. JJ Bleday flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews.

73%

1–2

Walk. TJ Friedl walks.

80%

1–2

Single. Matt McLain singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Cole. Spencer Steer scores. Will Benson scores. Jose Trevino to 3rd. Matt McLain to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Zach Cole.

79% ▲23

1–0

Field Error. Jose Trevino reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Cam Smith. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Will Benson to 2nd.

56% ▲9

1–0

Walk. Will Benson walks.

48%

1–0

Single. Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Cole.

42%

1–0

Strikeout. Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.

38%

Top 5th · HOU batting

1–0

Forceout. Jose Altuve grounds into a force out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Matt McLain. Christian Vázquez out at 2nd.

42%

1–0

Walk. Christian Vázquez walks.

39%

1–0

Home Run. Braden Shewmake homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.

40% ▼15

0–0

Groundout. Brice Matthews grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.

55%

0–0

Pop Out. Zach Cole pops out to second baseman Matt McLain.

53%

Bot 4th · CIN batting

0–0

Caught Stealing 2B. Elly De La Cruz caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Christian Vázquez to shortstop Braden Shewmake.

50%

0–0

Strikeout. Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.

53%

0–0

Single. Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brice Matthews.

56%

0–0

Groundout. JJ Bleday grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker.

53%

Top 4th · HOU batting

0–0

Strikeout. Cam Smith strikes out swinging.

56%

0–0

Flyout. Christian Walker flies out to right fielder Will Benson.

53%

0–0

Pop Out. Isaac Paredes pops out to first baseman Spencer Steer in foul territory.

50%

0–0

Walk. Yordan Alvarez walks.

46%

Bot 3rd · CIN batting

0–0

Strikeout. TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.

50%

0–0

Flyout. Matt McLain flies out to left fielder Zach Cole.

54%

0–0

Sac Bunt. Jose Trevino out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Christian Vázquez to first baseman Christian Walker. Will Benson to 2nd.

58%

0–0

Walk. Will Benson walks.

60%

Top 3rd · HOU batting

0–0

Flyout. Jose Altuve flies out to right fielder Will Benson in foul territory.

56%

0–0

Lineout. Christian Vázquez lines out to right fielder Will Benson.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Braden Shewmake grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.

53%

Bot 2nd · CIN batting

0–0

Pop Out. Spencer Steer pops out to catcher Christian Vázquez in foul territory.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Nathaniel Lowe grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.

51%

0–0

Strikeout. Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.

53%

Top 2nd · HOU batting

0–0

Groundout. Brice Matthews grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.

55%

0–0

Double. Zach Cole doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson.

52%

0–0

Groundout. Cam Smith grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Christian Walker grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.

52%

Bot 1st · CIN batting

0–0

Strikeout. Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.

50%

0–0

Flyout. JJ Bleday flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.

51%

0–0

Lineout. TJ Friedl lines out to first baseman Christian Walker.

53%

Top 1st · HOU batting

0–0

Grounded Into DP. Isaac Paredes grounds into a double play, second baseman Matt McLain to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Yordan Alvarez out at 2nd. Isaac Paredes out at 1st.

55%

0–0

Walk. Yordan Alvarez walks.

50%

0–0

Single. Jose Altuve singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Benson.

46%