CIN @ CHC — SportsStats

Tuesday, May 5, 2026 · Wrigley Field · Final

53-58 · L10 4-6

2–3

Chicago Cubs

64-49 · L10 7-3

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
CIN	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6	1
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	8	1

WP Ryan Rolison (5-1) LP Sam Moll (1-7)

Stars of the game

Andrew Abbott Michael Busch Jameson Taillon

Season matchup

CIN

CHC

CHC leads 16 of 19 categories

CIN	Metric	CHC
Offense
4.16 24th	Runs scored per game	5.13 2nd
.708 21st	Team On-Base Plus Slugging	.753 3rd
145 6th	Team Home Runs	139 9th
.230 30th	Team Batting Average	.248 10th
6.8 29th	Total position-player WAR	24.2 1st
Pitching
4.73 21st	Runs allowed per game	4.30 12th
4.41 23rd	Team Earned Run Average	4.09 13th
1.41 27th	Team Walks + Hits per Inning	1.25 10th
890 22nd	Team Strikeouts	876 24th
7.3 21st	Rotation WAR	6.3 23rd
0.2 28th	Bullpen WAR	2.1 21st
Roster
7.2 20th	Combined WAR of the club's three best position players	12.9 1st
28.6% 28th	Share of plate appearances given to sub-replacement hitters	4.6% 6th
105.9% 1st	Share of position-player WAR from the top three	53.3% 22nd
28.2 21st	Plate-appearance-weighted batting age	29.4 8th
Results
.477 23rd	Winning percentage	.566 5th
-63 26th	Run differential	94 4th
.442 26th	Pythagorean winning percentage	.580 4th
.538 12th	Winning percentage in one-run games	.552 9th
.456 26th	Home winning percentage	.571 8th
.500 12th	Road winning percentage	.561 5th

2026 regular-season totals, each with the club's league rank. The greener side holds the edge; descriptive metrics (roster age, WAR concentration) have no better direction and are left uncalled.

Cincinnati Reds

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 TJ Friedl LF	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	.165	.499
2 JJ Bleday LF	4	1	1	1	1	0	1	.227	.805
Dane Myers CF	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	.275	.756
3 Elly De La Cruz SS	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	.276	.855
4 Sal Stewart 1B	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	.254	.813
5 Nathaniel Lowe DH	4	1	2	1	1	0	1	.266	.820
6 Spencer Steer RF	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	.238	.739
7 Tyler Stephenson C	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	.256	.759
Blake Dunn PR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.282	.723
Jose Trevino C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.250	.687
8 Matt McLain 2B	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	.189	.609
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	.145	.452
Team	37	2	6	2	2	2	9	.162	.529

HR:: Bleday, Lowe

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Andrew Abbott	5.2	4	0	0	4	4	0	98-57	3.91	1.39
Connor Phillips	1.1	2	1	1	1	2	0	28-18	5.53	1.77
Tony Santillan	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	1	17-11	5.23	1.39
Emilio Pagán	0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-0	4.63	1.16
Jose Franco	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	0	22-8	4.43	1.72
Sam Moll L	0.0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2-1	4.26	1.42
Team	9.0	8	3	2	7	7	1	168-95	2.00	1.67

Chicago Cubs

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Nico Hoerner 2B	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	.256	.671
2 Alex Bregman 3B	4	0	1	0	1	1	0	.246	.716
3 Ian Happ LF	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	.215	.739
4 Seiya Suzuki RF	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.273	.846
5 Dansby Swanson SS	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	.214	.687
6 Michael Busch 1B	4	1	3	1	2	1	1	.243	.752
7 Matt Shaw 3B	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	.246	.737
Moisés Ballesteros PH	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.231	.687
Nicky Lopez 3B	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.277	.633
Michael Conforto PH	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.231	.780
Daniel Palencia P	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—
Ryan Rolison P	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—
8 Miguel Amaya C	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	.239	.703
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	.282	.919
Team	35	3	8	1	3	7	7	.229	.671

HR:: Busch
SB:: Crow-Armstrong

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Jameson Taillon	5.2	5	2	2	1	5	2	100-59	5.92	1.36
Javier Assad	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	0	17-12	3.75	1.16
Jacob Webb	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17-12	2.59	1.25
Daniel Palencia	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	15-8	2.70	1.38
Ryan Rolison W	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	0	18-10	2.45	1.27
Team	10.0	6	2	2	2	9	2	167-101	1.80	0.80

Win% = CHC win prob.

Bot 10th · CHC batting

2–3

Single. Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Dansby Swanson scores.

100% ▲20

Top 10th · CIN batting

2–2

Groundout. Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

81% ▲12

2–2

Walk. Dane Myers walks.

69%

2–2

Strikeout. TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.

71% ▲10

2–2

Strikeout. Ke'Bryan Hayes called out on strikes.

61% ▲11

Bot 9th · CHC batting

2–2

Flyout. Dansby Swanson flies out to right fielder Spencer Steer.

50% ▼11

2–2

Pop Out. Seiya Suzuki pops out to second baseman Matt McLain on the infield fly rule.

61% ▼10

2–2

Walk. Ian Happ walks. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.

71% ▲8

2–2

Lineout. Alex Bregman lines out to left fielder TJ Friedl.

64% ▼8

2–2

Walk. Nico Hoerner walks.

71%

Top 9th · CIN batting

2–2

Lineout. Matt McLain lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.

64%

2–2

Single. Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ.

57%

2–2

Pop Out. Spencer Steer pops out to first baseman Michael Busch in foul territory.

61%

2–2

Groundout. Nathaniel Lowe grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

56%

Bot 8th · CHC batting

2–2

Groundout. Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out to first baseman Sal Stewart.

50%

2–2

Field Error. Miguel Amaya reaches on a fielding error by left fielder TJ Friedl.

55%

2–2

Strikeout. Michael Conforto called out on strikes.

53%

2–2

Home Run. Michael Busch homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.

56% ▲32

2–1

Lineout. Dansby Swanson lines out to center fielder Dane Myers.

25%

Top 8th · CIN batting

2–1

Strikeout. Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.

31%

2–1

Field Error. Elly De La Cruz reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Michael Busch.

28%

2–1

Flyout. JJ Bleday flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

30%

2–1

Groundout. TJ Friedl grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Jacob Webb.

28%

Bot 7th · CHC batting

2–1

Forceout. Seiya Suzuki grounds into a force out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Matt McLain. Alex Bregman out at 2nd.

26% ▼10

2–1

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

35% ▼10

2–1

Single. Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.

45% ▲15

2–0

Walk. Nico Hoerner walks.

30%

2–0

Single. Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl.

23%

2–0

Strikeout. Miguel Amaya strikes out swinging.

18%

Top 7th · CIN batting

2–0

Pop Out. Ke'Bryan Hayes pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.

22%

2–0

Lineout. Matt McLain lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

21%

2–0

Strikeout. Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.

20%

Bot 6th · CHC batting

2–0

Forceout. Moisés Ballesteros grounds into a force out, pitcher Connor Phillips to catcher Tyler Stephenson. Seiya Suzuki out at home.

19% ▼12

2–0

Walk. Michael Busch walks. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.

31%

2–0

Single. Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.

25%

2–0

Walk. Seiya Suzuki walks.

22%

2–0

Groundout. Ian Happ grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.

20%

2–0

Lineout. Alex Bregman lines out sharply to center fielder TJ Friedl.

23%

Top 6th · CIN batting

2–0

Groundout. Spencer Steer grounds out, third baseman Matt Shaw to first baseman Michael Busch.

26%

2–0

Home Run. Nathaniel Lowe homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.

25% ▼13

1–0

Strikeout. Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.

38%

1–0

Flyout. Elly De La Cruz flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.

37%

Bot 5th · CHC batting

1–0

Lineout. Nico Hoerner lines out sharply to center fielder TJ Friedl.

34%

1–0

Strikeout. Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.

41%

1–0

Walk. Miguel Amaya walks. Michael Busch to 2nd.

48%

1–0

Flyout. Matt Shaw flies out to second baseman Matt McLain.

42%

1–0

Single. Michael Busch singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Spencer Steer.

47%

Top 5th · CIN batting

1–0

Strikeout. JJ Bleday called out on strikes.

42%

1–0

Groundout. TJ Friedl grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

40%

1–0

Groundout. Ke'Bryan Hayes grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.

39%

Bot 4th · CHC batting

1–0

Forceout. Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Matt McLain. Seiya Suzuki out at 2nd.

36%

1–0

Forceout. Seiya Suzuki grounds into a force out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Matt McLain. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Alex Bregman out at 2nd. Seiya Suzuki to 1st.

43%

1–0

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out swinging.

48%

1–0

Walk. Alex Bregman walks. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.

55%

1–0

Single. Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday.

48%

Top 4th · CIN batting

1–0

Flyout. Matt McLain flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.

43% ▲8

1–0

Walk. Miguel Amaya challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Tyler Stephenson walks. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd. Spencer Steer to 2nd.

35%

1–0

Single. Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.

38%

1–0

Single. Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ.

40%

1–0

Groundout. Sal Stewart grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.

42%

1–0

Groundout. Elly De La Cruz grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch.

40%

Bot 3rd · CHC batting

1–0

Flyout. Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

38%

1–0

Flyout. Miguel Amaya flies out to right fielder Spencer Steer.

39%

1–0

Single. Reds challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Matt Shaw singles on a line drive to right fielder Spencer Steer. Matt Shaw out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Spencer Steer to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.

41%

Top 3rd · CIN batting

1–0

Flyout. JJ Bleday flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.

44%

1–0

Groundout. TJ Friedl grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

43%

1–0

Flyout. Ke'Bryan Hayes flies out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.

41%

Bot 2nd · CHC batting

1–0

Strikeout. Michael Busch strikes out on a foul tip.

39%

1–0

Groundout. Dansby Swanson grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart.

40%

1–0

Flyout. Seiya Suzuki flies out to right fielder Spencer Steer.

42%

Top 2nd · CIN batting

1–0

Flyout. Matt McLain flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

44%

1–0

Flyout. Tyler Stephenson flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

43%

1–0

Strikeout. Spencer Steer strikes out swinging.

42%

Bot 1st · CHC batting

1–0

Strikeout. Ian Happ strikes out on a foul tip.

40%

1–0

Groundout. Alex Bregman grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart.

41%

1–0

Flyout. Nico Hoerner flies out to right fielder Spencer Steer.

42%

Top 1st · CIN batting

1–0

Strikeout. Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.

45%

1–0

Single. Sal Stewart singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

43%

1–0

Strikeout. Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.

44%

1–0

Home Run. JJ Bleday homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.

42% ▼10

0–0

Flyout. TJ Friedl flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

52%