BAL @ CIN — SportsStats

Sunday, July 5, 2026 · Great American Ball Park · Final

52-56 · L10 4-6

2–3

50-56 · L10 3-7

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	7	0
CIN	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	X	3	5	0

WP Nick Lodolo (3-2) LP Kyle Bradish (7-9) SV Emilio Pagán (11)

Stars of the game

Nick Lodolo Kyle Bradish Spencer Steer

Season matchup

BAL leads 15 of 19 categories

BAL	Metric	CIN
Offense
4.55 12th	Runs scored per game	4.14 26th
.717 17th	Team On-Base Plus Slugging	.705 22nd
127 15th	Team Home Runs	139 5th
.237 23rd	Team Batting Average	.230 29th
14.3 9th	Total position-player WAR	5.5 30th
Pitching
4.78 22nd	Runs allowed per game	4.75 21st
4.21 16th	Team Earned Run Average	4.46 23rd
1.35 20th	Team Walks + Hits per Inning	1.41 27th
856 21st	Team Strikeouts	850 23rd
8.0 16th	Rotation WAR	6.8 21st
2.5 20th	Bullpen WAR	-0.2 28th
Roster
6.9 21st	Combined WAR of the club's three best position players	6.4 24th
2.4% 3rd	Share of plate appearances given to sub-replacement hitters	28.7% 28th
48.3% 29th	Share of position-player WAR from the top three	116.4% 1st
27.6 23rd	Plate-appearance-weighted batting age	28.2 21st
Results
.481 21st	Winning percentage	.472 22nd
-25 20th	Run differential	-65 26th
.477 20th	Pythagorean winning percentage	.437 25th
.346 29th	Winning percentage in one-run games	.500 16th
.518 15th	Home winning percentage	.442 27th
.442 19th	Road winning percentage	.500 10th

2026 regular-season totals, each with the club's league rank. The greener side holds the edge; descriptive metrics (roster age, WAR concentration) have no better direction and are left uncalled.

Baltimore Orioles

Batting	AB	R	H	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Gunnar Henderson SS	4	0	0	1	0	0	.219	.687
2 Adley Rutschman C	5	0	1	0	0	0	.251	.764
3 Taylor Ward LF	4	1	2	0	0	1	.249	.735
4 Pete Alonso 1B	4	0	0	0	0	1	.250	.812
5 Coby Mayo DH	3	0	1	1	0	0	.198	.672
Samuel Basallo DH	1	0	0	0	0	1	.241	.756
6 Tyler O'Neill RF	2	0	0	0	1	0	.210	.669
Dylan Beavers PH	0	1	0	0	1	0	.244	.676
7 Leody Taveras CF	3	0	0	0	1	2	.226	.660
8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B	3	0	0	0	0	2	.248	.660
Jackson Holliday PH	0	0	0	0	1	0	.252	.756
9 Blaze Alexander 3B	4	0	3	0	0	0	.312	.807
Team	33	2	7	2	4	7	.212	.532

2B:: Ward

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	HR	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Kyle Bradish L	7.2	5	3	3	1	5	1	106-73	3.74	1.36
Rico Garcia	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6-3	2.93	0.87
Team	8.0	5	3	3	1	5	1	112-76	3.38	0.75

Cincinnati Reds

Batting	AB	R	H	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OPS
1 Elly De La Cruz SS	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	.277	.850
2 Sal Stewart 3B	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	.254	.807
3 JJ Bleday LF	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	.231	.807
4 Eugenio Suárez DH	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	.204	.673
5 Spencer Steer 1B	3	1	1	1	2	0	0	.238	.739
6 Tyler Stephenson C	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	.248	.720
7 Noelvi Marte RF	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.189	.587
8 TJ Friedl CF	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.167	.506
9 Edwin Arroyo 2B	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	.244	.570
Team	29	3	5	1	3	1	5	.172	.510

2B:: Stewart
HR:: Steer

Pitching	IP	H	R	ER	BB	SO	P-S	ERA	WHIP
Nick Lodolo W	6.0	6	1	1	2	4	97-65	4.60	1.47
Brock Burke	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	11-7	2.61	1.30
Tejay Antone	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	17-11	2.16	0.93
Emilio Pagán SV	1.0	1	1	1	2	1	32-19	5.06	1.22
Team	9.0	7	2	2	4	7	157-102	2.00	1.22

Win% = CIN win prob.

Top 9th · BAL batting

2–3

Lineout. Adley Rutschman lines out to center fielder TJ Friedl.

100% ▲15

2–3

Sac Fly. Gunnar Henderson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder JJ Bleday. Dylan Beavers scores.

85% ▲14

1–3

Single. Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to left fielder JJ Bleday. Dylan Beavers to 3rd. Jackson Holliday to 2nd.

71% ▼11

1–3

Walk. Jackson Holliday challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jackson Holliday walks. Dylan Beavers to 2nd.

83% ▼8

1–3

Strikeout. Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.

91%

1–3

Walk. Dylan Beavers walks.

84% ▼8

Bot 8th · CIN batting

1–3

Pop Out. JJ Bleday pops out to third baseman Blaze Alexander in foul territory.

92%

1–3

Double. Sal Stewart doubles (21) on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Edwin Arroyo scores.

94% ▲8

1–2

Strikeout. Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.

86%

1–2

Single. Edwin Arroyo singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras.

87%

1–2

Flyout. TJ Friedl flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.

85%

Top 8th · BAL batting

1–2

Strikeout. Samuel Basallo strikes out swinging.

87%

1–2

Flyout. Pete Alonso flies out to right fielder Noelvi Marte.

84%

1–2

Strikeout. Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.

80%

Bot 7th · CIN batting

1–2

Forceout. Noelvi Marte grounds into a force out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson. Tyler Stephenson out at 2nd.

75%

1–2

Single. Tyler Stephenson singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

77%

1–2

Flyout. Spencer Steer flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

76%

1–2

Flyout. Eugenio Suárez flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.

77%

Top 7th · BAL batting

1–2

Groundout. Adley Rutschman grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.

79%

1–2

Pop Out. Gunnar Henderson pops out to first baseman Spencer Steer.

77%

1–2

Groundout. Blaze Alexander grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.

74%

Bot 6th · CIN batting

1–2

Flyout. JJ Bleday flies out to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

69%

1–2

Groundout. Sal Stewart grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.

70%

1–2

Strikeout. Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.

72%

Top 6th · BAL batting

1–2

Strikeout. Jeremiah Jackson strikes out swinging.

74% ▲12

1–2

Walk. Leody Taveras walks. Coby Mayo to 3rd. Tyler O'Neill to 2nd.

62%

1–2

Walk. Tyler O'Neill walks. Coby Mayo to 2nd.

67%

1–2

Single. Coby Mayo singles on a ground ball to left fielder JJ Bleday, deflected by third baseman Sal Stewart. Taylor Ward scores.

70% ▼10

0–2

Groundout. Pete Alonso grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer. Taylor Ward to 3rd.

80%

0–2

Double. Taylor Ward doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday.

76%

0–2

Flyout. Adley Rutschman flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.

81%

Bot 5th · CIN batting

0–2

Groundout. Edwin Arroyo grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

78%

0–2

Pop Out. TJ Friedl pops out to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson.

79%

0–2

Lineout. Noelvi Marte lines out to first baseman Pete Alonso.

81%

0–2

Single. Tyler Stephenson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras.

83%

0–2

Home Run. Spencer Steer homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Eugenio Suárez scores.

81% ▲20

0–0

Walk. Eugenio Suárez walks.

61%

Top 5th · BAL batting

0–0

Pop Out. Gunnar Henderson pops out to third baseman Sal Stewart in foul territory.

57%

0–0

Single. Blaze Alexander singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Noelvi Marte.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Jeremiah Jackson grounds out, pitcher Nick Lodolo to first baseman Spencer Steer.

55%

0–0

Groundout. Leody Taveras grounds out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer.

53%

Bot 4th · CIN batting

0–0

Lineout. JJ Bleday lines out sharply to center fielder Leody Taveras.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Sal Stewart grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

51%

0–0

Groundout. Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

53%

Top 4th · BAL batting

0–0

Groundout. Tyler O'Neill grounds out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer.

56%

0–0

Groundout. Coby Mayo grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.

55%

0–0

Strikeout. Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.

53%

Bot 3rd · CIN batting

0–0

Groundout. Edwin Arroyo grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

50%

0–0

Groundout. TJ Friedl grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.

51%

0–0

Strikeout. Noelvi Marte strikes out swinging.

53%

Top 3rd · BAL batting

0–0

Flyout. Taylor Ward flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.

56%

0–0

Single. Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.

51%

0–0

Lineout. Gunnar Henderson lines out to second baseman Edwin Arroyo.

53%

0–0

Single. Blaze Alexander singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl.

50%

0–0

Strikeout. Jeremiah Jackson called out on strikes.

53%

Bot 2nd · CIN batting

0–0

Groundout. Tyler Stephenson grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Spencer Steer grounds out, third baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.

51%

0–0

Strikeout. Eugenio Suárez strikes out swinging.

53%

Top 2nd · BAL batting

0–0

Strikeout. Leody Taveras called out on strikes.

55%

0–0

Groundout. Tyler O'Neill grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Coby Mayo grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.

52%

Bot 1st · CIN batting

0–0

Groundout. JJ Bleday grounds out, second baseman Jeremiah Jackson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

50%

0–0

Groundout. Sal Stewart grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

51%

0–0

Strikeout. Adley Rutschman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.

53%

Top 1st · BAL batting

0–0

Flyout. Pete Alonso flies out sharply to center fielder TJ Friedl.

55%

0–0

Single. Taylor Ward singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday.

53%

0–0

Lineout. Adley Rutschman lines out to center fielder TJ Friedl.

54%

0–0

Groundout. Gunnar Henderson grounds out to first baseman Spencer Steer.

52%